The Float — September 2026, Issue 02
The Float
September 2026, Issue 02
PayEdge’s read on working capital, liquidity, and supply chain finance across Africa — for buyers, suppliers, and funders.

Nigeria Just Cut Rates by 350bps — Here’s What It Actually Means for Working Capital

On September 22, the CBN’s Monetary Policy Committee did something it hadn’t done all year: it moved decisively. The Monetary Policy Rate was cut 350 basis points in one sitting — from 26.5% to 23% — the sharpest single cut of Governor Cardoso’s tenure, after two straight meetings on hold. The Standing Lending Facility now sits at 23.5% and the Standing Deposit Facility at 20%, with reserve requirements left untouched.

On paper, this is good news for anyone financing working capital in naira. But look at the number next to it: headline inflation stood at 15.39% in August. Even after a 350bps cut, the real interest rate — policy rate minus inflation — is still sitting around 7.6 points. Borrowing in Nigeria just got cheaper. It didn’t get cheap.

“Rate cuts change the weather. They don’t change why supply chain finance exists.”

That gap is exactly why receivables-based and transaction-backed financing keeps gaining ground even as headline rates fall. When the cost of traditional credit is still elevated in real terms, financing that’s priced off a buyer’s strong credit — rather than a borrower’s full balance sheet — stays the more efficient option for suppliers, cut or no cut.

Afreximbank wants African factoring volumes to hit at least €240 billion. Speaking at a factoring workshop, Afreximbank leadership said Africa needs to scale factoring to that level to support SME-led transformation, with FCI’s Secretary General calling for stronger partnerships to turn discussion into transactions.Source: Afreximbank / FCI factoring workshop
African startup funding fell sharply in July, even as capital concentrates. Disclosed funding for African startups dropped significantly year-on-year in July 2026. Equity is harder to raise right now — which makes non-dilutive, transaction-backed financing more relevant, not less.Source: Nairametrics startup funding tracker

FROM THE BLOG

5 Trends Reshaping Supply Chain Finance in Africa

A look at the shifts defining where SCF is headed across the continent — and what they mean for buyers, suppliers, and funders positioning for what’s next.

Read the article

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Why Working Capital Is Africa’s Most Strategic Asset

PayEdge’s executive report on why working capital is becoming Africa’s most strategic business asset — and what leading CEOs and CFOs are doing about it.

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€240B
the factoring volume Afreximbank says Africa needs to reach to support SME-led transformation at scale.

Why it matters: today’s volumes are a fraction of that target. Every basis point of that gap is either unmet demand or an open lane for platforms built to serve it.

A Rate Cut Isn’t a Cost Cut — Nominal vs. Real Interest Rates

When a central bank cuts rates, the headline makes it sound like borrowing just got cheap. It didn’t necessarily — it depends on inflation.

Nominal Rate

The rate actually quoted — what you see in the headline. Nigeria’s MPR, after the September cut, now stands at 23%.

Real Rate

Nominal rate minus inflation — what borrowing actually costs. With inflation at 15.39%, Nigeria’s real policy rate is still roughly 7.6 points.

The practical takeaway for CFOs: don’t budget off the headline rate. A 350bps cut sounds significant, but if inflation is falling in step, your real cost of capital may barely move — worth comparing financing options on a real, not nominal, basis before assuming credit just got cheaper.

Two numbers worth sitting with this month: a 350bps rate cut that still leaves real borrowing costs high, and a €240 billion factoring target that shows how much room Africa’s SCF market still has to grow. Cheaper headline credit and a bigger financing gap aren’t in conflict — they’re the same story. The instruments that price off transactions and trust, not just balance sheets, are the ones built for this moment.

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The Float is PayEdge’s newsletter for buyers, suppliers, and funders shaping the future of trade and supply chain finance in Africa.
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